Match outlook: Thun riding a wave, Lausanne searching for consistency
Stockhorn Arena will host a fascinating clash in Round 24 of the Swiss Super League as Thun, sitting top of the table, welcome Lausanne Sport on 12 February 2026. The league table and recent results paint a clear narrative: Thun arrive brimming with confidence. Seventeen wins from 23 matches, 51 goals scored and a run of victories that includes eye-catching wins away at Basel and a 4-1 demolition of Young Boys suggest a side in full momentum. Their recent 3-1 win at Servette underlined that Thun are not just grinding out results; they are creating chances and taking them.
Lausanne Sport, by contrast, have been inconsistent. Seventh in the standings with 29 points, their recent form has been a mix of draws, narrow defeats and occasional flashes of quality — the 3-1 win at Young Boys back in January is one of those flashes. The 1-1 draw with St. Gallen in their last outing showed defensive resilience but also a lack of cutting edge on the road. Lausanne’s season numbers indicate a team capable of scoring but vulnerable at both ends; their goal difference is slim and their away scoring (12 goals) lags behind Thun’s overall firepower.
Tactical tendencies and statistical edge
Thun’s attacking metrics stand out. High shot volume, a prolific goalscoring record and an over 2.5 goals frequency of around 78% in their matches suggest they play an open, forward-thinking brand of football. Lausanne’s matches have produced goals too—both in home and away contexts—so this pairing has the ingredients for an open encounter. Head-to-head history earlier this season saw Lausanne claim a 2-1 home win, but table form and recent results heavily favour the hosts.
From a market perspective the bookmakers have priced Thun as favorites with a home win listed near 2.05, while the draw and away win are trading substantially higher. That pricing mirrors form and home advantage: Thun’s attack versus Lausanne’s mid-table inconsistency makes the home favorite tag logical.
Betting angle and suggested markets
Given the statistical profile—high shot counts, Thun’s prolific scoring and both teams’ tendency to be involved in matches that go over the standard goal line—the goal market looks most appealing on value. For readers wanting context on timing in goal markets, a useful guide is available on the topic: The right time to place bets on goal markets. If bankroll considerations are on your mind while backing this kind of market, consider reading about the difficulties of having a small bankroll in betting.
Betting suggestion: Back Over 2.5 goals. Thun’s attacking form and Lausanne’s propensity for mixed defensive displays make the over market the strongest single selection from the available 1X2 and goal options.
