Prediction Tijuana vs Monterrey 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Liga MX on 06/10/2025

Match outlook and context

Tijuana welcome Monterrey to Estadio Caliente on 06/10/2025 in what promises to be a lively Apertura round 12 clash. The venue in Tijuana has been a fortress of sorts for the home side this season: Tijuana’s home numbers show a defense that has conceded just four goals at home and they’ve collected five clean sheets, while scoring 15 at their own ground. Monterrey arrive sitting second in the table and carrying strong form, but they’ll face a home side that knows how to frustrate opponents on their own turf.

Recent form paints an intriguing picture. Monterrey have been rampant in their latest run — eight wins out of ten with only a single loss — and are averaging more shots and dangerous attacks than Tijuana, suggesting they’ll come with plenty of firepower. Tijuana, meanwhile, are compact and efficient in front of their fans: five wins, four draws and only two defeats from eleven matches overall, with recent results that include a 2-0 win over Cruz Azul and an eye-catching 5-0 triumph over León earlier in the month.

The last meeting this year saw Tijuana upset Monterrey 2-1 in March, so there’s a psychological edge for the hosts that cannot be ignored. The official odds give Monterrey a narrow edge, but both sides are well within reach of each other on paper — the market places Monterrey at 2.46, Tijuana at 2.62 and the draw at 3.65, reflecting how balanced this fixture could become.

Tactical expectation and key trends

Expect Monterrey to try and impose tempo with greater shot volume and sustained attacking intent; they’ve registered the higher averages for total shots and shots inside the box. Tijuana will likely respond with disciplined defending and rely on quick transitions — their home defensive solidity and multiple recent clean sheets indicate they can shut down attacks if they control the rhythm. One trend that stands out is Monterrey’s propensity for high-scoring encounters: a strong over-2.5 record on the season contrasts with Tijuana’s mixed history, but recent high-score games from both teams suggest goals are a real possibility.

Betting suggestion: Over 2.5 goals

Based on the data available, the best single market to target is the goal market: Over 2.5 goals. Monterrey’s season shows a clear tendency toward open, goal-rich matches and they bring more shots and attacking pressure to the fixture. Tijuana have shown they can both score and concede in bursts — their recent 5-0 and 4-2 matches underline that volatility. These combined indicators point to a match where three or more goals is a realistic outcome.