Prediction Togo vs Congo DR 2026 season – Betting Tips for the CAF World Cup Qualifiers on 10/10/2025

Match context and immediate outlook

The Group Stage clash in Lomé at Stade de Kégué on 10/10/2025 pits a hungry home side against the group pace-setters. Togo arrive sitting fourth with eight outings yielding a meagre return of seven points; their campaign reads one win, four draws and three defeats, and a goal tally of five scored against nine conceded. The home crowd will remember recent highs — a 1-0 win over Sudan on 09/09/2025 where Sadik Fofana stood out — but overall Togo have been patchy. Their recent sequence of results underlines inconsistency: flashes of resolute defending at times but too few goals, reflected in low goals scored both home and away.

Congo DR travel in markedly better nick. Occupying second in the group with 16 points from eight matches, they have struck 13 and conceded six. Recent form is mixed but shows potency: a narrow 2-3 defeat to Senegal was sandwiched between convincing wins, including a 4-1 victory over South Sudan and a 2-0 success in Angola. Cédric Bakambu topped the ratings in the Senegal match, evidence of attacking threat. Statistically Congo DR are the more productive team in the contest — more goals, more wins and more clean sheets — and they possess the striking numbers to make Togo nervous.

Tactical trends and statistical clues

Numbers supply a clear narrative: Togo generate a solid number of total shots (74) and shots on target (34), but those attempts have not consistently translated into goals — just five in the group. Their attacking metrics (attacks average 94, dangerous attacks 64.25) show willingness to press, but conversion and defensive lapses have left them vulnerable. Congo DR log slightly fewer total shots (67) and nearly identical shots on target (33), yet their conversion has been superior and they have twice as many clean sheets (4) as Togo (2). The head-to-head memory also favours Congo DR; their meeting in June 2024 finished 1-0 to Congo DR, underlining their ability to edge tight encounters.

On the goals markets there are mixed signals. Togo’s fixtures have not often produced high-score affairs — over 2.5 goals has been rare for the hosts — while Congo DR have shown they can both score and keep opponents out, suggesting a controlled but decisive approach. Bookmakers reflect that balance: the best available 1X2 price points make Congo DR the favourite at 2.15, the draw sits at 3.00 and Togo are longer at 3.60, indicating market belief in an away win but acknowledging the upset potential of a passionate Lomé crowd.

In short, this looks set to be a contest where Congo DR’s attacking efficiency and superior group position give them the edge, while Togo will hope home familiarity and pockets of attacking intent can punish any slackness.

Betting suggestion

Based on the comparative form, goal returns and the head-to-head record, the clearest single-market angle is a Congo DR win in the 1X2 market. Betting suggestion: Congo DR to win (Away) at 2.15.