Match preview: north London heat at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
The headline of the weekend is a classic north London clash as Tottenham Hotspur host table-toppers Arsenal on 22/02/2026 at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium. Tottenham arrive under pressure in 16th position with 29 points from 26 games and a mixed recent record that has produced just two wins in their last ten outings. Their home numbers underline inconsistency: 16 goals scored at home and 18 conceded, with seven clean sheets on the season but a worrying run of losses that has dented confidence. Arsenal, by contrast, sit first with 58 points from 27 matches, boasting a far more convincing goal return (52 scored, 20 conceded) and 13 clean sheets across the campaign. Recent form shows Arsenal largely untroubled—six wins in their last ten and just a single loss—while their last meeting in November produced a 4-1 victory for Arsenal, a result that still lingers in Tottenham minds.
Key trends and what the numbers say
Statistically this match leans heavily toward Arsenal. They dominate in attacking metrics with a higher shots total (391 vs 288) and superior shots-on-target figures (133 to 98), while averaging more dangerous attacks and corners. Tottenham’s matches have tended to produce goals—over 2.5 has occurred in a majority of their fixtures—but Arsenal’s defensive solidity and superior away record (21 goals scored away, only 12 conceded) suggest they are well placed to neutralize Tottenham’s threat. The bookmakers reflect this balance: Arsenal are favorites at around 1.55 for the win, while a Tottenham victory sits long at 6.00. Recent individual match notes add color: Tottenham’s latest defeat came at the hands of Newcastle, while Arsenal drew with Wolves after leading at half-time, a reminder that even the leaders can be flirted with.
Prediction and betting insight
Given the gulf in league position, attacking output and defensive stability, Arsenal are the sensible pick to take all three points. Expect them to control large phases of the game and to force Tottenham into chasing territory, which could open up the match for counters and set-piece opportunities. Tottenham’s home atmosphere and stadium capacity of 62,850 mean this will not be a quiet affair, and the game carries the edge of derby intensity that can produce moments in both boxes.
For readers looking to refine their approach to market selection and timing, consider learning broader strategy around market choice and when to pull the trigger. A guide on Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets will help you align your stake with the most appropriate market, while insights in The right time to place bets on goal markets offer context if you prefer goal-based plays.
Betting suggestion: Back Arsenal to win (1X2 market) at the quoted price of around 1.55. This selection matches form, superior underlying numbers, and a clear bookmaker probability edge.
