Match Preview: Trabzonspor set the pace at Medical Park Stadyumu
Trabzonspor return to Medical Park Stadyumu riding a wave of confidence after a string of victories that have them perched third in the Super Lig table. The home side arrive with 38 points from 18 matches, sporting an impressive record of 11 wins, 5 draws and only 2 defeats. Recent results underline a team that can score — 35 goals overall — and defend solidly at home with just seven conceded and six clean sheets. Kasımpaşa, by contrast, sit down in 14th with 16 points from a campaign that has seen them fight for stability; three wins, seven draws and eight losses tell a story of inconsistency. Their attacking return is modest with 14 goals overall and away outings have yielded only eight goals while conceding 12.
Key numbers and momentum
Form lines point clearly toward the hosts. Trabzonspor’s latest run reads strongly: six wins, one draw and three losses across the most recent ten-match window, including a morale-boosting 2-1 road win against Kocaelispor and an emphatic 6-1 demolition in mid-January that showcased their firepower. Kasımpaşa’s recent slate is mixed — draws bookending home fixtures, and intermittent victories that have failed to translate into a consistent points haul on the road. Both teams’ danger-attack averages are identical on paper, but the gulf in total shots and shots on target is telling: Trabzonspor average nearly 16 shots per game with a significantly higher overall total, while Kasımpaşa manage roughly 10.7. Head-to-head history this season saw Kasımpaşa fall 0-1 at home earlier, a reminder that Trabzonspor have already proven they can nick results against this opponent.
How the match is likely to play out
Expect Trabzonspor to control possession and territory early, probing Kasımpaşa’s defensive shape and looking to exploit wide spaces and set-piece opportunities. Kasımpaşa will likely reserve energy for counterattacks and set up to frustrate — their recent 0-0 draw against Antalyaspor shows they can be stubborn. With home defensive numbers strong and the visitors averaging fewer shots and goals away from home, the balance tips in favour of the hosts producing the decisive moments.
Prediction and betting suggestion
Given the statistical gap, current form and bookmaker pricing, the clearest market to target is the 1X2. Backing Trabzonspor to win is the pragmatic choice: the market reflects that confidence with home odds at 1.50 and a probability around 66.7%. For bettors wanting to refine their approach, consider studying broader match-market tactics in “Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets” and timing your goal market entries via “The right time to place bets on goal markets”. Final call: prediction — Trabzonspor to win (1).
