Prediction Turkey vs Georgia 2026 – Betting Tips for the WC Qualification Europe on 14/10/2025

Turkey look to build on momentum at Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı

Turkey arrive in Istanbul buzzing after a resounding 6-1 win over Bulgaria in their most recent outing. That victory pushed a side that has collected seven wins, one draw and two defeats in their last ten into a confident mood ahead of round 4 of the WC Qualification Europe group stage. Turkey sit second in the group with six points from three matches, and their recent attacking explosions have been impossible to ignore: nine goals scored across the group so far and an overall Shots average of 11.67 per match underline a team that is creating plenty of chances. The Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı will be packed — the printed capacity of 76,092 looms large — and Turkey will want to use home advantage to press the issue early and often. Arda Güler was the standout performer in the Bulgaria clash, listed as the best player with a rating of 8.41, and Turkey’s high-risk, high-reward approach has produced plenty of goals recently.

Georgia arrive with resilience but recent form is patchy

Georgia have shown themselves to be a streaky opponent: capable of big wins, as their 6-1 and 3-0 results earlier in the campaign demonstrate, but also vulnerable against higher-ranked opposition, as their 2-0 defeat to Spain most recently confirmed. Georgia are third in the group on three points, with five goals scored and five conceded. Their form over the last ten matches is more mixed than Turkey’s, with four wins, one draw and five defeats. Statistically Georgia are not overrun in shooting metrics — 10.33 shots average with 43.33 dangerous attacks — but they have struggled to keep consistency when facing top-quality teams. The pair have met earlier this cycle, with Turkey edging a 3-2 win in Tbilisi on 4 September; that scoreline suggests this fixture can be open and entertaining.

Match outlook and tactical angle

This is shaping up to be an engaging clash where Turkey’s attacking impetus meets Georgia’s counter-attacking danger. Turkey have shown a tendency for games to end with multiple goals — three of their group matches have gone over 2.5 — while Georgia have seen two of their three group fixtures go over 2.5 as well. The recent head-to-head (3-2) plus Turkey’s six-goal outburst imply that the home side will seek to dominate territory and press for goals, and Georgia will look to exploit spaces left behind.

Betting suggestion I recommend the goal market: Over 2.5 goals. Turkey’s recent scoring form, the previous 3-2 meeting between these teams, and both sides’ tendencies toward high-scoring encounters make Over 2.5 the clearest value option from the available markets.