Prediction Unión Santa Fe vs Defensa y Justicia 2025 – Betting Tips for the Liga Profesional de Fútbol on 21/10/2025

A tight regional duel at Estadio 15 de Abril

Two sides with contrasting league status but similar recent rhythms meet in Ciudad de Santa Fe on 21/10/2025 as Unión Santa Fe host table-toppers Defensa y Justicia. The fixture carries intrigue: Unión sit eighth with a habit of grinding out draws and narrow results, while Defensa y Justicia lead the phase but arrive with a run of mixed outcomes. The venue—Estadio 15 de Abril—promises a lively atmosphere for a matchup that, on paper and in form, looks destined to be a low-scoring, closely contested affair.

Form, facts and what the numbers say

Unión come into this one with 12 matches played in the phase: four wins, five draws and three defeats, a 16-for and 13-against goals tally and a sequence that reads as patchy but competitive. Their latest results include a heavy 3-1 reverse at Central Córdoba and a recent 0-2 loss to Aldosivi, but they’ve also shown resilience with draws and occasional wins. Defensa y Justicia, meanwhile, lead the group with 19 points from 12 matches, five wins, four draws and three defeats. Their recent slate features a solid 1-0 victory over Argentinos Juniors and a notable 2-1 win against Boca Juniors earlier in the phase, balanced by a couple of narrow losses.

Both teams show defensive compactness in the broader season data. Unión have recorded eight clean sheets, while Defensa y Justicia have nine—figures that underline an ability to keep games tight. Over-2.5 totals are not the norm for either side: Unión’s over-2.5 percentage sits in the low 30s, and Defensa’s is under 40 percent. The head-to-head earlier this year finished 0-0, reinforcing the sense that these clubs are comfortable in low-scoring scraps when they lock down defensively.

Offensive output is present but not prolific. Shot averages are respectable for both clubs, yet conversion to goals has been modest. Recent match reports paint a picture of narrow scorelines: Defensa’s wins this phase have often been by single-goal margins, and Unión’s results have similarly swung between tight defeats and hard-fought draws. The bookmakers give a slight edge to the home side—Unión priced around 1.97—with the draw and away win trailing, but the broader statistical tale is of two teams that can frustrate one another.

Final view and betting suggestion

Given the defensive records, the low over-2.5 percentages, the recent run of one-goal affairs and a 0-0 H2H earlier this season, expect a cautious, chess-like encounter rather than a goal-fest. The safest value from the provided data points toward a goals market that reflects the teams’ propensity for tight scorelines.

Betting suggestion: Under 2.5 goals.