Prediction USM Khenchela vs CS Constantine 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Ligue 1 on 20/11/2025

Match context and form lines

USM Khenchela welcome CS Constantine to a fixture that on paper screams tight and tactical. Both teams sit mid-table in the early stages of the 2025/2026 Ligue 1 season — USM Khenchela in 10th with 14 points from 11 matches and CS Constantine a place higher with 15 points. Recent results underline how thin the margin is between the two: Khenchela have alternated wins, draws and defeats, with a pattern heavy on draws at home and a modest goals return (10 scored, 10 conceded across the campaign). Constantine arrive with slightly more firepower overall — 13 goals scored — but their away record and defensive fragility on the road (eight goals conceded away) make this a contest where expectations should be tempered.

H2: What the numbers say

Shots and chances hint that USM Khenchela generate more volume: 117 total shots and 40 on target across their fixtures, an average that suggests they control more phases in open play. CS Constantine, by contrast, are more economical in attack with 83 total shots and 36 on target. Yet the conversion to goals has been low for both sides, and over/under indicators point to cautious affairs: USM’s over-2.5 percentage sits at a paltry 9.09% while Constantine’s over-2.5 figure is higher but still modest at 36.36%. Both teams have registered a number of low-scoring results recently — a series of 1-0s or 1-1s feature heavily in their form reports — and head-to-head history tilts only slightly toward Constantine, who beat Khenchela 2-1 in their most recent meeting.

H3: Tactical outlook and key themes

Expect conservative setups from both managers. USM’s home numbers show they are more likely to control possession and generate danger (attacks average 91.27, dangerous attacks 59.18), but the team converts chances into goals rarely and has only two clean sheets at home. Constantine will likely remain pragmatic: decent at home but vulnerable away, and their tendency to keep matches tight aligns with several single-goal victories and low-scoring draws in recent weeks. Both sides have shown a propensity to keep matches under the radar rather than explode into high-scoring affairs.

Prediction and betting tip

This clash feels destined to be decided by a single moment rather than an onslaught of goals. With USM Khenchela’s tendency for draws at home, low over-2.5 percentages for both sides, and a run of recent low-scoring outcomes for Constantine away from home, the most sensible market here is the goal market. Backing Under 2.5 goals aligns with the statistical profile and the recent pattern of narrow scorelines. If you’re preparing a strategy, it’s also worth brushing up on timing for goal markets — consider reading The right time to place bets on goal markets — and refining stake sizing with resources like How to set values for sports betting and how to start creating a bankroll to manage risk.

Betting suggestion: Under 2.5 goals. Confidence: medium — logical from the data and recent form, but expect a close, competitive game where a single moment can change everything.