Versailles welcome Villefranche to Stade de Montbauron on 07/10/2025 in what looks set to be a telling clash in the early stages of the National season. The hosts sit comfortably near the summit in 2nd place with 16 points from seven matches, a record built on five wins, a solitary draw and one defeat. Their recent rhythm is impressive: victories have bookended a competitive draw and a single setback, and the trip to Bourg-en-Bresse was turned into three points with a tight 1-0 win on 03/10/2025. That result underlines Versailles' ability to grind out results away from home, yet the real strength here is their home form — seven goals scored at home in a season that has seen their backline concede only three times on home turf and record four clean sheets overall.
Villefranche arrive in Versailles having shown flashes of resilience but lacking consistency. Occupying 12th place with 11 points from eight matches, their pattern is a rollercoaster of wins, draws and defeats. Most recently they edged Châteauroux 2-1, a result that will lift confidence, but it followed a mixed run including a 2-0 reverse at Valenciennes and a 3-0 loss to Fleury earlier in the campaign. Their goal-scoring return is modest — six goals across the season — while their defense has been more porous than Versailles’, conceding ten in total. Away numbers suggest Villefranche can be competitive, but their away goals scored stands at just one, hinting at limited attacking output on the road.
Tactically, expect Versailles to lean on control and a compact defensive shape that has yielded multiple clean sheets and limited opposition chances. Their averages in shots and dangerous attacks point to a team that can dominate territory and manufacture opportunities, particularly at Montbauron where the home crowd of 7,500 can create a tight, focused atmosphere. Villefranche will rely on moments of transition and individual contributions — their recent best player performance against Châteauroux suggests they can punch above their weight on the counter. The most recent meeting between these sides finished 1-1, showing there is room for an evenly contested affair, but the balance of form and underlying numbers tips towards the hosts.
Bookmakers make Versailles the clear favourite at 1.83, translating to a probability just over 54%. Given the gulf in league position, Versailles’ superior defensive record at home, their recent winning momentum and Villefranche’s limited away attacking output, the most justified single-market call here is a 1X2 selection: back Versailles to win. The market price reflects value when weighed against the home side’s consistency and the away side’s inconsistency. Stake with discipline and consider a cautious approach, but on form and numbers this is the strongest, data-driven pick for the match.
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