Prediction VfB Stuttgart vs FC Augsburg 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Bundesliga on 09/11/2025

Match context and form

VfB Stuttgart welcome FC Augsburg to the MHPArena on 09/11/2025 in a clash that looks one-sided on paper. Stuttgart arrive off the back of a morale-boosting Europa League win over Feyenoord on 06/11/2025, where Deniz Undav earned the match’s best rating as his side recorded a 2-0 victory. That result adds to a domestic sequence that has seen Stuttgart collect six wins from nine Bundesliga matches, sit fourth in the table with 18 points, and boast a tidy home defensive record — just one goal conceded at home according to the supplied home stats and four clean sheets overall. By contrast Augsburg sit 14th with a worrying run of form: two wins, one draw and six defeats in nine matches, fragile defensively with 21 goals conceded and no clean sheets to their name.

Numbers that matter

The statistical gap is notable. Stuttgart average more shots, more dangerous attacks and more corners than Augsburg; their overall shot volume and shot-on-target figures (139 total shots, 51 on target) suggest sustained attacking pressure. Augsburg’s numbers paint a team that struggles to control games on the road — fewer shots, fewer dangerous attacks and an alarming goals-conceded tally, especially at home where they shipped 15. The head-to-head from May delivers a stark memory too: Stuttgart routed Augsburg 4-0 in the previous Bundesliga meeting, a result that underlines the threat the hosts pose when everything clicks.

Bookmakers mirror the underlying data: the home win market is heavily priced in Stuttgart’s favour (1.52, roughly a 66% implied probability), with draw and away options at much longer prices. The referee assignment (Harm Osmers) and the MHPArena atmosphere — capacity over 60,000 — further tilt the balance to the home side in a match where momentum and crowd support are likely to be decisive.

How this game could play out

Expect Stuttgart to control possession phases and pepper the Augsburg goal with crosses and shots from inside the box, given their higher shots-inside-box numbers. Augsburg will probably look to defend compactly and attempt counters, but their conversion and defensive frailties make them vulnerable to conceding. With Stuttgart’s low BTTS home percentage and multiple clean sheets, there’s a genuine scenario where the hosts win comfortably without conceding; alternatively, Augsburg’s matches often feature goals, so a more open preview cannot be completely dismissed.

Final read and betting suggestion

Given the data — form, underlying attack/defence metrics, recent results and the market odds — the clearest value is on the 1X2 market backing VfB Stuttgart to win. The price of 1.52 reflects a strong home advantage and a side in better rhythm, and the historical 4-0 H2H result adds credence to a confident home performance. For those who prefer reading about market selection and sharpening their approach, check these soccer betting tips and the choice of markets and remember to keep your emotions in check — guidance on how to have emotional control when placing bets can be useful when staking on favourites.

Betting suggestion: Back VfB Stuttgart to win (1X2 market) — the data and form favour a home victory on 09/11/2025.