Prediction Virtus Entella vs Sampdoria 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Serie B on 17/10/2025

Match context and form

The Serie B scrap at Stadio Comunale Chiavari on 17 October promises a low-key but tense encounter as Virtus Entella host Sampdoria in Round 8. On paper this is a meeting of two sides struggling to spark consistency: Entella sit 15th with six points from seven games, Sampdoria hover lower at 18th with five points. Recent results underline the fragile state of both squads — Entella arrive off a 2-0 defeat at Modena and have managed just one league win so far, while Sampdoria recovered with an emphatic 4-1 home victory over Pescara after a run of draws and defeats. Those latest scores show Sampdoria can punch above their station, but they have also leaked goals away from home.

What the numbers say

Shot and attack metrics favour Sampdoria in volume: they average about 14.9 shots per match and 97.1 attacks, compared with Entella’s 12.6 shots and 78.9 attacks. Yet higher shot counts have not consistently translated into defensive solidity — both teams have conceded ten goals in league play. Home/away splits offer a clearer picture: Virtus Entella have scored four at home and conceded three, while Sampdoria’s away record shows only two goals scored and five conceded. Both sides share a 50% BTTS rate in their recent matches, suggesting that while goals come, they are not prolific. Over 2.5 statistics point to modest scoring trends: Entella’s over-2.5 percentage sits at about 28.6% and Sampdoria’s at 42.9%, indicating fewer high-scoring affairs than neutral observers might hope.

Tactical instincts will be pivotal. Entella’s capacity to control the contest in their Chiavari ground — a compact venue with a 5,500 capacity — could blunt Sampdoria’s tendency to accumulate shots. Sampdoria, however, carry momentum from that 4-1 win where Massimo Coda earned the best player plaudit; that boost could encourage a more adventurous approach. Entella’s recent defeat to Modena named Stefano Di Mario as their standout performer in a losing cause, showing individual efforts are present even when collective results are not.

Odds and value are finely balanced. Bookmakers make Virtus Entella the narrow favourites with a 2.45 price (about 40.8% implied probability), the draw at 2.90, and Sampdoria available at 3.10. Given both teams’ defensive vulnerabilities but limited attacking output across the season, the market reflects uncertainty rather than a clear swing to either side.

Betting suggestion

Based on the trends in goals, home/away splits and modest over-2.5 frequencies, the best single-market recommendation is the goal market: Under 2.5 goals. This selection leans on both teams’ season-long habit of low-scoring matches and Entella’s slightly stronger home defensive numbers, suggesting a tight contest that is likelier to be decided by a single goal than a goalfest.