Preview: Wadi Degla welcome Al Mokawloon to Jaber Al-Ahmad
Wadi Degla return to the Jaber Al-Ahmad International Stadium on 5 February sitting comfortably higher in the table and carrying a clearer claim to three points than visitors Al Mokawloon. This clash in round 17 of the 2025/2026 Premier League pits a side with 23 points from 15 games against a team fighting near the foot of the standings with just 13 points from 16. The gulf in consistency is evident in the records: Wadi Degla have six wins and five draws, while Al Mokawloon have managed only two victories and seven draws all season. Home advantage, recent form and a stronger goals return overall make the hosts the natural favorites in this fixture.
Form, momentum and recent meetings
Wadi Degla arrive off a mixed patch but with signs of attacking life — the visitors’ most recent scalp was a 3-2 triumph over Ghazl El Mehalla earlier in January, although they were edged 3-1 by Al Ahly in their latest outing where Amr Hossam stood out with the best match rating. Al Mokawloon’s late-January reverse to National Bank of Egypt (0-1), a game in which Joseph Ochaya earned the best rating for his side, underlines their difficulty in finding reliable late-season form. Head-to-head history is thin but tasty: the two met in April 2021 with Al Mokawloon returning a 1-0 win; however, the current league tables suggest the pendulum has swung in Wadi Degla’s favor this term.
What the numbers suggest
Statistically, both sides are modest scorers. Wadi Degla have 19 goals across 15 matches while Al Mokawloon have struggled with only nine in 16. Shots data shows Wadi Degla are more clinical on target — 54 shots on target from 162 attempts — compared to Al Mokawloon’s 47 on target from 181 attempts, hinting the visitors create volume but not necessarily quality. Clean sheets are evenly matched at three apiece, and both teams have a moderate tendency for both teams to score occurrences, so there is a chance of goals at either end, but the balance favors the home side to nick a win.
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Betting suggestion Wadi Degla to win (1X2) — bookmakers price the home win around 2.48 with a probability edge reflected in league form, goal numbers and home comfort. Backing Wadi Degla here offers value given their superior points tally, recent attacking displays and Al Mokawloon’s struggle to convert chances into goals. Play responsibly and stake within your plan.
