Match overview
Watford welcome Norwich City to Vicarage Road on 6 December looking to steady the ship after a tight defeat to Birmingham City. The Hornets sit 15th in the Championship with 24 points from 18 games and carry the edge of home form into this clash: 15 goals scored at Vicarage Road and just nine conceded underline a side that is more comfortable in its own stadium than on the road. Norwich, by contrast, sit rock bottom in 23rd with 13 points, their away record giving cause for concern — 10 goals scored on the road but 14 conceded away from home paints a picture of attacking intent that hasn’t been matched by defensive stability.
Form and recent results
The recent stretch tells the story. Watford arrive off a 2-1 reverse at Birmingham on 1 December, a match where Jeremy Ngakia’s 7.43 rating stood out despite the defeat. Prior to that setback the hosts had stitched together wins and draws — three draws and a hard-fought win at Derby among the last five — suggesting resilience. Norwich’s last results show flashes of life, most notably a convincing 3-1 triumph over QPR on 29 November where P. Mattsson posted a 7.82 best-player rating, but their broader run is worrisome: only one win in ten outings, with seven defeats and two draws in that period. That run of losses, combined with a negative goal difference (19 scored, 29 conceded), leaves them vulnerable on the road.
Tactical hints and match dynamics
Shot and chance metrics favor Watford in volume and efficiency: the hosts average about 14 total shots per game and have generated 85 shots on target across the campaign, an indication they create opportunities. Norwich are not inert — they average slightly more attacks — but their finishing and defensive frailties have cost them, reflected in 11 losses so far. Both teams have managed only one clean sheet at this stage in the season, and both sides have a reasonable frequency of BTTS and over-2.5 games, suggesting a contest that could see chances at both ends rather than a cagey 0-0.
Market view and betting context
Bookmakers make Watford the clear favorites here with a home price around 1.94, roughly a 51.5% implied probability. The draw is priced in the mid-3s and Norwich sit out at about 3.80 — an understandable reflection of their poor form and defensive record away from home. For bettors weighing markets, resources like Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets help frame where value can lie, while those considering goal-based strategies might consult The right time to place bets on goal markets to pick timing and lines smarter.
Betting suggestion (final): Back Watford to win (1X2 market). The home defensive solidity, superior home goals record and Norwich’s alarming run of defeats away make the home win at ~1.94 the most justified single-market play from the available options. Keep stakes measured: Norwich can produce moments, but the balance of form and home advantage favors a Watford victory.