Prediction Werder Bremen vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Bundesliga on 30/08/2025

Context and current picture

The curtain-raiser to round two at the Wohninvest Weserstadion shapes up as a clash of contrasting trajectories. Werder Bremen arrive in a fragile state after a chastening 4-1 defeat at Eintracht Frankfurt, leaving them 17th in the early table with no points from their opening fixture. The home figures tell a worrying story: one goal scored and four conceded away from home in their only league outing, an attack that looked toothless against quality opposition and a defence that has already been exposed. Werder’s recent run of results across all competitions is mixed, but the Bundesliga formline is clear — this is a side in need of answers.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen, meanwhile, travel with an expectation to dominate. Despite a setback against Hoffenheim last time out, their pre-season and friendly results show firepower and a sharp attacking profile. Statistically their attacking intent is superior on the numbers provided: a much higher average of total and dangerous attacks, and a better supply of corners — signs of consistent pressure in the final third. The head-to-head from March paints a similar picture: Leverkusen secured a 2-0 win in their previous Bundesliga meeting, a reminder that Bremen have struggled to contain them in recent encounters.

What the numbers say

Beyond league positions, the underlying stats underline the likely pattern. Leverkusen’s attacksAverage and dangerousAttacksAverage are significantly higher than Bremen’s, suggesting the away side will create more chances and territory. Werder’s shots on target in recent matches were respectable, but their defence’s fragility — four conceded in the first round — is the overriding concern. Both teams’ recent results indicate a willingness to open games: the last fixtures on both sides have produced over 2.5 goals, and Bremen’s recent heavy defeat signals a contest that could tilt toward goal-filled exchanges rather than a cautious stalemate.

There is also the psychological angle. Leverkusen’s squad will be keen to bounce back after the Hoffenheim loss, and they have the momentum from pre-season confidence. Werder, playing at home and in front of a 42,100-capacity stadium, will seek a reaction, but the balance of quality and attacking threat leans towards the visitors.

Betting suggestion: 1X2 market — Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win (odds 1.92). The away side’s superior attacking metrics, their recent head-to-head success, and Bremen’s defensive vulnerabilities combine to make an away victory the most probable outcome according to the available data.