The stage is set at the London Stadium on 22 August 2025 as West Ham United welcome Chelsea in a clash that feels tilted in favour of the visitors. Chelsea arrive with momentum, a run of form that reads comfortably better than their hosts’. West Ham’s campaign has started on the wrong foot: a heavy 3-0 defeat away to Sunderland left them pointless and sitting low in the table, while their recent domestic and cup results have been mixed and patchy. The Hammers will be under pressure to respond at home in front of a near-60,000 crowd under referee Michael Oliver’s watch.
Chelsea’s early-season story is steadier. A goalless draw in their most recent Premier League outing against Crystal Palace kept the Blues unbeaten in the league so far, and a sequence of wins in the run-up — including comfortable victories in high-profile friendlies listed in the data — shows a side that has confidence and defensive compactness. Statistically Chelsea are more dangerous in attacking intent, averaging 19 shots per match to West Ham’s 12, and they boast a clean sheet already this term. That attacking volume paired with greater numbers of dangerous attacks gives them the edge going into this London derby.
Form tells a clear story. West Ham’s form line inside the provided dataset includes more losses than wins, and their single Premier League match this season resulted in a 3-0 reverse. Chelsea’s recent sequence is markedly stronger — seven wins, two draws and a single loss across the last ten matches listed — and their most recent player man-of-the-match rating came from Marc Cucurella after a 0-0 draw. West Ham’s previous outing named Aaron Wan-Bissaka as their best performer despite the team’s defeat, hinting at individual bright spots in an otherwise troubled collective performance.
Head-to-head history inside the available data shows a February league meeting where Chelsea prevailed 2-1. That recent victory underlines Chelsea’s psychological edge coming to East London. On balance, Chelsea’s superior shot volume and defensive solidity, along with a better recent run of results, position them as the favourites.
Betting suggestion: For a straight, data-backed pick in the 1X2 market, back Chelsea to win. The away win is the clearest value play given Chelsea’s form, their defensive resilience so far, and West Ham’s shaky start to the season.
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