Prediction Widzew Lodz vs Radomiak Radom 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Ekstraklasa on 17/10/2025

Match overview

A charged atmosphere is expected at Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź on 17 October as Widzew Lodz welcome Radomiak Radom in what promises to be an open Ekstraklasa encounter. Widzew arrive sitting 11th after 11 matches, their record a mixed bag of four wins, one draw and six defeats, while Radomiak occupy a slightly healthier 8th place with four wins, three draws and four losses. The bookies make Widzew favourites with home odds of 1.81, but the underlying numbers suggest this will be a contest determined as much by attacking intent as by defensive resolve.

Form and recent results

Widzew have been erratic in recent weeks, alternating flashes of cutting attacking play with lapses at the back. Their last five competitive outings produced wins against Nieciecza and Arka Gdynia, but defeats to Raków Częstochowa and Górnik Zabrze highlight defensive vulnerability. Fran Álvarez earned top individual acclaim in Widzew’s latest 4-2 victory, showing the side can be dangerous when forward lines click.

Radomiak come into the match on a positive note after a convincing 3-1 home success over Zagłębie Lubin. Their formline reads as a team capable of matches both tight and expansive — a 2-2 draw at Motor Lublin and a 1-0 win over Piast Gliwice show variance, while a heavy 4-1 loss at Legia earlier in the season underlines occasional defensive frailty.

Key stats and tactical pointers

Statistically this is shaping up as a contest that will likely produce goals. Widzew have netted 17 times this season but conceded 15; at home they have scored eight and kept four clean sheets. Radomiak have found the net 20 times and leaked 19, with their away goal-scoring more modest but their matches frequently featuring goals. Importantly, the over 2.5 goals metric is telling — Widzew’s matches have gone over 2.5 goals in roughly 54.5% of fixtures, while Radomiak’s games hit that mark in 72.7% of cases. Clean sheets are scarce, especially for the visitors who have managed just one, and both sides commit a fair number of shots into and around the box, suggesting end-to-end episodes.

Head-to-head history is recent and even: a 1-1 draw earlier in the season shows there is little margin between these teams when they meet, but current scoring trends point toward more open play this time around.

Prediction and betting tip

Given the attacking records, the frequency of over 2.5 encounters for both sides and the limited clean-sheet numbers, the best value lies in the goal market rather than a straight 1X2 pick. Expect an open game with chances at both ends and a higher probability of three or more goals. Betting suggestion: Over 2.5 goals — this selection aligns with both teams’ scoring patterns and recent match profiles and offers a sensible way to play an attractive Ekstraklasa fixture.