Two familiar League One adversaries meet again in the Carabao Cup second round as Wigan Athletic host Stockport County at The DW Stadium on 26/08/2025. The timing and stakes promise a lively night in Wigan: cup football often brings unpredictability, but the underlying form and season-opening rhythm give us a clear narrative. Wigan arrive with a patchy but stubborn start to the campaign — a run that reads D-L-W-W-L-W-D-D-D-D across the last ten fixtures, and a couple of hard-fought wins sandwiched between losses and draws. Their most recent outing ended in a 2-2 draw at Rotherham where F. Murray stood out with the game’s top rating, illustrating Wigan’s ability to produce moments of quality even when results fluctuate.
Stockport County, by contrast, are carrying better momentum. Their sequence W-L-D-W-W-W-L-W-D-W shows six wins from ten and a confidence that comes from being able to finish chances and sustain pressure. The visitors beat Burton Albion 2-1 in their last match after overturning a halftime deficit, with Oliver Norwood earning the match’s best rating. That resilience will be crucial in knockout football.
The numbers underline Stockport’s attacking dominance so far. They average 21 total shots with 10 on target and boast 111 attacks and 61 dangerous attacks on average — figures that dwarf Wigan’s outputs (9 total shots, just 2 on target, 64 attacks and 25 dangerous attacks). Stockport’s goal return at home stands at three in the limited sample, while Wigan have scored once at home in the provided snapshot. Clean-sheet data also favours Stockport’s recent defensive steadiness away from an absolute shutout record, but the overall shot-volume and quality indicators clearly lean toward the visitors.
Odds reflect that assessment: bookmakers give Stockport the edge at 2.30 for the win, with Wigan priced at 3.00 and the draw at 3.40. The head-to-head from February creeps into the backdrop too — Stockport won 2-0 at Wigan earlier in the year, a reminder that the County know how to impose themselves on this opponent.
Prediction and betting suggestion
All things considered — recent form, shot metrics, attacking danger and the market’s posterior — Stockport County look the smarter pick to progress from this tie. Expect an away side that will press, create opportunities and look to settle the tie without unnecessary risks. Betting suggestion: back Stockport County to win (1X2 market). The 2.30 price reflects a reasonable balance between value and probability given Stockport’s superior attacking numbers and momentum.
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