Prediction Wisła Płock vs Pogoń Szczecin 2025/2026 – Betting Tips for the Ekstraklasa on 03/11/2025

Match context and form guide

The Stadion im. Kazimierza Górskiego in Płock will host an intriguing Ekstraklasa tussle on 03/11/2025 as Wisła Płock welcome Pogoń Szczecin. On paper this one looks finely balanced, but the numbers point toward a home side who have found solidity at their own ground. Wisła sit third in the table after 12 matches with 22 points, boasting just two defeats all season and a stout home defensive record — only four goals conceded in home fixtures. Their recent run is steady, with four wins and four draws in the last ten outings, and a 1-1 stalemate away to Radomiak Radom on 27 October keeps the momentum ticking.

Pogoń arrive in mixed form but with firepower — they’ve scored 20 goals in 13 games yet shipped 23, a defensive vulnerability that stands out. Their last outing was a morale-boosting cup win at Legia Warszawa after extra time, showing resilience in knockout conditions, but league consistency has been an issue: five losses in their last ten league matches and a ninth-place position underline that inconsistency.

Tactical tilt and statistical edge

This fixture’s story is likely to be decided in the middle third and by which side imposes its tempo. Wisła’s home statistics suggest a team that controls danger well: fewer goals conceded at home and an average of 4.5 corners and three clean sheets from their home slate. Pogoń’s attacking metrics are impressive — higher total shots, more attempts inside the box and a greater tendency toward higher-scoring affairs (over 2.5 in around 69% of their matches) — but those same attacking tendencies expose them defensively, especially away from Szczecin where they’ve conceded 13 goals.

Head-to-head history in the dataset is sparse, the last recorded meeting in February 2023 ended 0-1 to Pogoń, but recent form and home advantage favour Wisła. The match referee will be Paweł Malec, and the compact 10,978 crowd at ul. Łukasiewicza 34 could be an influential factor on a chilly November evening.

Betting markets to consider and risk factors

Given the available odds — Wisła priced at 2.28, the draw at 3.45 and Pogoń at 3.00 — the market leans slightly toward a home victory. The primary reasons are Wisła’s defensive record at home and Pogoń’s inconsistent away form. That said, Pogoń’s propensity for open games means goals cannot be ruled out; the clash of a tight home defence versus an adventurous away attack suggests a controlled Wisła win or a narrow-margin game.

If you want to brush up on market selection and where value may lie, check out our Soccer betting tips and the choice of markets, and if bankroll sizing is on your mind ahead of placing a stake, consider reading The difficulties of having a small bankroll in betting.

Betting suggestion After weighing form, home/away splits and bookmaker pricing, the recommended play is a 1X2 selection: back Wisła Płock to win at 2.28. The safer angle is a single-unit stake on Wisła; for those seeking slightly lower odds with reduced variance, a small stake on double chance (Wisła or Draw) would also be a pragmatic alternative. Keep stakes proportionate to your bankroll and factor in the tight margins this late-season clash is likely to deliver.