Prediction Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Burnley 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Premier League on 26/10/2025

Preview: Molineux mood swings set the scene

Wolverhampton Wanderers welcome Burnley to Molineux on 26 October in what promises to be a feisty Premier League encounter with plenty on the line for both sides. Wolves sit rock bottom after eight matches with just two points and no wins, but their underlying numbers paint a more nuanced picture. Across the season Wolverhampton have mustered more than a century of attacking moves per game and a healthy shots tally, yet those efforts have not been reflected on the scoreboard; five goals scored against 16 conceded leaves them vulnerable but not toothless. Burnley, occupying 17th, arrive with seven points and a recent morale-boosting 2-0 win over Leeds United, showing they can still find a cutting edge on their day.

Form and recent meetings: momentum versus metrics

Recent form gives Burnley the psychological edge — they came into this weekend off a clean-sheet victory while Wolves were beaten 2-0 by Sunderland, a match in which Jhon Arias earned the best player rating for Sunderland. The Book of Form, however, tells two different stories. Wolverhampton are generating more dangerous attacks and more shots on target overall this campaign, even if those chances have rarely been converted into points. Burnley have been frugal in front of goal at times and have two clean sheets to their name, yet they’ve conceded at a similar clip as Wolves across the season. Their standout performer in the previous round was Kyle Walker, who produced a 7.47 rating in Burnley’s last victory — evidence that individual performances can swing tight matches.

Tactical edge and statistical lean

Wolves’ offensive profile — higher shot and attack averages — suggests they will press and create at Molineux, while Burnley’s resilience and ability to shut teams out away from home cannot be ignored. Both sides have shown defensive frailty across the season, with a combined haul of 31 goals conceded between them. That translates to an expectation of end-to-end action: Wolves’ eight-match home ledger shows they have failed to keep a clean sheet this term, whereas Burnley have protected their net twice on the road but have also been involved in matches where both sides scored.

Betting markets reflect the home advantage: bookmakers make Wolverhampton the narrow favorite in the 1X2 market with home odds around 1.98, but the attacking indicators and the porous defenses on display point towards goals being involved.

Betting suggestion

Considering the season-long numbers — heavy attacking output from Wolverhampton, Burnley’s capacity to score and the high rate of matches where both teams have found the net (both teams to score percentages around 75% in their respective home/away contexts) — the clearest play is on the goal market. Back Both Teams to Score (Yes). This selection aligns with Wolves’ inability to keep clean sheets, Burnley’s goalscoring potential, and the likelihood of an open, competitive contest at Molineux