Preview: Wolves under pressure at Molineux as Forest head north with confidence
Wolverhampton Wanderers arrive at Molineux in a state of palpable alarm — rooted to 20th in the table with a single point tallying two draws and eleven defeats after 13 rounds. Their recent results read like a season-long collapse: five straight defeats in November, most recently a 1-0 loss at home to Aston Villa on November 30. The Wolves’ attacking numbers are painfully thin; only seven goals scored all season, and zero clean sheets to their name at home. Defensive fragility is obvious in the 28 goals conceded and a run of heavy reversals that includes a 3-4 defeat to Chelsea and 0-3 losses in recent outings.
Nottingham Forest, by contrast, travel in a much healthier mood. Sitting 16th with 12 points, Forest have unearthed a vein of form that includes convincing wins — 3-0 victories away to Liverpool and Malmö FF earlier in November, and a 3-1 success over Leeds United. Even when they stumbled most recently versus Brighton (0-2), their overall rhythm suggests a side better equipped to carve out opportunities. Their attacking profile is stronger: 13 goals scored, greater shot volume and more dangerous attacks per match. On raw indicators, Forest create more and concede slightly less than Wolverhampton.
Tactical and statistical edge
The underlying stats favor the away side. Nottingham Forest average more total shots, more shots inside the box and a higher dangerous attacks metric — all pointing toward a team that generates chances with greater consistency. Wolves’ home form offers little to suggest they can contain that threat; their corners and attacks averages are lower, and a solitary win in their last ten underlines the psychological strain around the squad. The most recent head-to-head in January saw Nottingham Forest carve out a comfortable 3-0 win, a reminder that history between these sides can matter when form begins to align.
There’s value in noting set-piece and finishing differentials: Forest’s corners average sits well above Wolves’, suggesting sustained pressure opportunities. Meanwhile, Wolves’ btts home percentage reads high, which hints at matches where goals come at both ends, but their season-long inability to score consistently remains the overriding concern.
What to expect at Molineux
Expect Nottingham Forest to approach the match with measured aggression — pressing for early control and exploiting the defensive gaps Wolves have repeatedly shown. Wolves, under the weight of results and fan expectation, may play nervously and concede space in transition. Matches between these teams have produced clear results recently rather than low-scoring stalemates, and referee Tim Robinson will oversee what looks likely to be an open contest given the contrasting offensive and defensive profiles.
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Betting suggestion: Nottingham Forest (Away) to win – 1X2 market. The bookmakers offer Forest at 2.22 (≈45.05% implied probability), which looks the most sound value here given Wolves’ alarming form, Forest’s superior attacking metrics and recent head-to-head control. Keep stakes sensible and consider combining this view with in-play observations early on.