Prediction York City vs Morecambe 2025/2026 season – Betting Tips for the Enterprise National League on 15/11/2025

York City arrive as overwhelming favourites at Dwight Yorke Stadium

York City head into this Round 19 clash with momentum that reads like a team on a mission. Sitting fifth in the Enterprise National League, the hosts have compiled 36 points from 18 matches courtesy of ten wins, six draws and just two defeats. Their recent sequence is eye-catching: three consecutive high-scoring victories punctuate a form string that includes six wins, two draws and two losses in the last ten. Home return figures are impressive too — 26 goals at home and only nine conceded — and the team’s attacking profile is obvious from recent scorelines: 4-1, 4-1 and 4-0 results in November point to a side that presses forward with confidence and converts chances at a healthy clip.

Morecambe, by contrast, arrive rooted near the foot of the table in 23rd place. Their return from 17 matches stands at just 13 points with three wins, four draws and ten defeats. Defensive frailties are exposed by the tally of 44 goals conceded and a dismal run of form — only one win in their last ten domestic fixtures — that includes a mix of draws and narrow defeats. Away numbers are troubling: 12 goals scored away but 23 conceded, and a single clean sheet for the season underlines the difficulty they face when asked to keep shape on the road.

What the patterns suggest for the game

Tactically, this looks like a classic clash between a free-scoring home side and an away team vulnerable at the back. York’s attacking metrics — high totals of shots, shots inside the box and a strong corners average — suggest they will tilt possession and territory in their favour. Morecambe’s matches have tended to produce goals as well: their over 2.5 percent is high, and both teams have been involved in fixtures with multiple goals recently. The lone historical head-to-head on record here is a long-ago 1-1 in 2016, which adds little to the current narrative except a hint that these clubs can trade blows when they meet.

For bettors weighing markets, think about the strong probability that York control the match and that late goals or a multi-goal contest are likely. If you’re focusing on goal markets, it’s worth reviewing tactical timing and volatility — a good primer on this is available in The right time to place bets on goal markets: The right time to place bets on goal markets. And remember that keeping your emotions steady when backing heavy favourites or chasing returns is vital; a guide on emotional control can help keep discipline intact: How to have emotional control when placing bets?

Betting suggestion Taking the data at face value and balancing probability with value, the clearest play is a straight 1X2 pick: back York City to win. Bookmaker pricing underlines that confidence — York are as short as 1.20 in available markets — and home form, recent goal output and Morecambe’s porous defence make the home victory the highest-probability outcome. For those seeking slightly better returns, a goals alternative to consider is Over 2.5 — both teams’ recent fixtures favor multiple-goal games — but the primary recommendation remains York City to win (1X2).