Hamilton's rocky start at Ferrari suggests caution for punters: Monza home support could lift him into a top-5 finish, but recent form and penalties make podium or win bets risky. Consider backing Hamilton in top-6/top-10 markets or driver market props (fastest lap, sprint podium) rather than outright victory.
Lewis Hamilton admits his opening months at Ferrari have been "volatile" and emotionally challenging as he adapts to a very different environment after 12 years at Mercedes. The seven-time champion has described the first 15 races in red as an emotional roller coaster but says he senses progress and remains motivated for the remainder of the season.
Hamilton has yet to secure a grand prix podium for Ferrari, his only victory this season coming in a sprint race in China. A string of setbacks — including a contentious yellow-flag infringement at Zandvoort and a disastrous qualifying session in Hungary — have compounded a difficult start. Despite those issues, Hamilton believes the team and he are beginning to make gains.
This weekend marks Hamilton's first Italian Grand Prix as a Ferrari driver, a significant moment he called "incredibly special." He reflected on childhood memories of watching races at Monza and vowed to give everything for the passionate Ferrari tifosi. The home crowd could provide an emotional lift, but Hamilton stressed he is focused on staying present rather than worrying about future outcomes.
Hamilton acknowledged both he and Ferrari underestimated aspects of the transition. He praised team principal Fred Vasseur and engineers for accommodating him, saying cultural and technical adjustments have been significant. He argued that enduring a tough opening half of the season can ultimately strengthen the team and prepare them for better results down the line.
Ferrari will commemorate the 50th anniversary of Niki Lauda's 1975 world title, and Hamilton will carry Lauda's name on his helmet for the weekend. Hamilton reflected on Lauda's advice and fighting spirit, recalling Lauda's blunt encouragement to "give him hell" — a phrase that has stuck with him through highs and lows.
Hamilton remains optimistic about an "uphill battle" turning positive. For bookmakers and bettors, the picture is mixed: Monza's atmosphere and potential car improvements could boost Hamilton's short-term prospects, but inconsistent pace and infractions suggest conservative betting strategies (top-6/top-10, sprint podiums, or special props) may be wiser than backing outright wins.
Lewis Hamilton said he was not prepared for how "volatile" his time at Ferrari has been, describing his first 15 races in red as "an emotional roller coaster."
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