Juventus remain winless in four Champions League matches and likely need 8–12 points from their final four fixtures to reach the playoffs. Punters should be cautious: backing Juventus to qualify looks risky; consider match markets (draw no bet or under/over) and seek value in Benfica/Monaco to secure top spots or on Juventus at home versus Pafos.
Juventus’ Champions League crisis: winless after four matches
Juventus have failed to register a win in their opening four Champions League games, collecting three draws and one defeat that leave the Bianconeri in a precarious position in their group. The club must sharpen up quickly if it hopes to avoid an early exit or a problematic run into the playoff spots.
How many points will be needed?
Recent trends give a range rather than a certainty. Based on last season’s standings, eight to nine points from the remaining four matches might be the bare minimum to reach the playoff round. A safer target, however, is 11–12 points to mirror last campaign’s threshold for progressing into the knockout contenders, while automatic qualification to the Round of 16 would likely require a very high tally — historically around 15–16 points.
Remaining fixtures and their difficulty
Juventus face four decisive matches to close out the league phase: - Nov 25 — away at Bodo/Glimt. The Norwegian side have struggled in this campaign but boast a strong home European record in recent seasons. - Dec 10 — home vs Pafos at the Allianz Stadium. A key opportunity to secure maximum points on home soil. - Jan 21 — home vs Benfica. A heavyweight test against José Mourinho’s side that could decide the top positions. - Jan 28 — away at Monaco. A tricky trip to French opposition that often thrives on fast attacking play.
Each fixture presents different risks: Bodo/Glimt are dangerous at home, Pafos are vulnerable away, while Benfica and Monaco are clear quality tests.
What the numbers mean tactically
Juventus will need both a defensive stability and a sharper attacking edge. Turning draws into wins at the Allianz is essential; away points in Norway and Monaco will be valuable but harder to come by. Goal difference may also be a deciding factor if points totals cluster, so matches against Pafos and Bodo/Glimt carry added importance for goal-scoring opportunities.
Ex-Italy star predicts Vlahovic will score 20 goals under Spalletti
Betting implications for punters
The current form suggests caution for anyone backing Juventus to qualify outright. More prudent approaches include: - Match-specific markets: draw no bet for Juventus in tighter fixtures, or backing Pafos/Monaco/Benfica in markets where they are favored. - Over/under goals: consider totals in matches where Juventus must chase results. - Outright group markets: value likely exists on Benfica and Monaco to finish top two; Juventus to reach playoffs is a higher-risk play requiring sustained improvement.
Outlook
Juventus face a compact, high-stakes run of fixtures that will define their European campaign. The next two months are pivotal: immediate improvement is required if they are to convert early draws into the wins necessary for a confident progression from the group.
Juventus have yet to win a Champions League game this season, but they’ll likely need...
Football Italia