How many points do Juventus need to qualify for Champions League playoff?

Juventus remain winless in four Champions League matches and likely need 8–12 points from their final four fixtures to reach the playoffs. Punters should be cautious: backing Juventus to qualify looks risky; consider match markets (draw no bet or under/over) and seek value in Benfica/Monaco to secure top spots or on Juventus at home versus Pafos.
Juventus’ Champions League crisis: winless after four matches
Juventus have failed to register a win in their opening four Champions League games, collecting three draws and one defeat that leave the Bianconeri in a precarious position in their group. The club must sharpen up quickly if it hopes to avoid an early exit or a problematic run into the playoff spots.
How many points will be needed?
Recent trends give a range rather than a certainty. Based on last season’s standings, eight to nine points from the remaining four matches might be the bare minimum to reach the playoff round. A safer target, however, is 11–12 points to mirror last campaign’s threshold for progressing into the knockout contenders, while automatic qualification to the Round of 16 would likely require a very high tally — historically around 15–16 points.
Remaining fixtures and their difficulty
Juventus face four decisive matches to close out the league phase: - Nov 25 — away at Bodo/Glimt. The Norwegian side have struggled in this campaign but boast a strong home European record in recent seasons. - Dec 10 — home vs Pafos at the Allianz Stadium. A key opportunity to secure maximum points on home soil. - Jan 21 — home vs Benfica. A heavyweight test against José Mourinho’s side that could decide the top positions. - Jan 28 — away at Monaco. A tricky trip to French opposition that often thrives on fast attacking play.
Each fixture presents different risks: Bodo/Glimt are dangerous at home, Pafos are vulnerable away, while Benfica and Monaco are clear quality tests.
What the numbers mean tactically
Juventus will need both a defensive stability and a sharper attacking edge. Turning draws into wins at the Allianz is essential; away points in Norway and Monaco will be valuable but harder to come by. Goal difference may also be a deciding factor if points totals cluster, so matches against Pafos and Bodo/Glimt carry added importance for goal-scoring opportunities.
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Betting implications for punters
The current form suggests caution for anyone backing Juventus to qualify outright. More prudent approaches include: - Match-specific markets: draw no bet for Juventus in tighter fixtures, or backing Pafos/Monaco/Benfica in markets where they are favored. - Over/under goals: consider totals in matches where Juventus must chase results. - Outright group markets: value likely exists on Benfica and Monaco to finish top two; Juventus to reach playoffs is a higher-risk play requiring sustained improvement.
Outlook
Juventus face a compact, high-stakes run of fixtures that will define their European campaign. The next two months are pivotal: immediate improvement is required if they are to convert early draws into the wins necessary for a confident progression from the group.
Juventus have yet to win a Champions League game this season, but they’ll likely need...
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