When will Italy discover World Cup play-off opponents?
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When will Italy discover World Cup play-off opponents?

When will Italy discover World Cup play-off opponents?

Italy’s 4-1 defeat by Norway consigns them to World Cup play-offs; Norway topped Group I unbeaten. Betting angle: with Italy’s recent play-off woes, expect tight ties—consider under 2.5 goals or Italy to win by a single-goal margin in March play-offs. UEFA draw is Nov 20; play-off semis on March 26 and finals on March 30.

Italy Sent to World Cup Play-Offs After Humbling Defeat by Norway

Italy’s place in the World Cup play-offs was confirmed after a 4-1 loss to Norway in the final Group I qualifier. The Azzurri finished second with 18 points from eight matches — six wins and two defeats — with both losses coming against Norway, who won all eight games to top the group and qualify directly.

Norway’s Dominance and Italy’s Struggle

Norway’s perfect record underlined a clear gap in the group. Italy’s defeat not only denied them direct qualification but extended a worrying trend: the Azzurri now head into another play-off campaign after falling short in the previous two World Cup cycles. Confidence will be a concern as Italy prepares for the high-stakes March fixtures.

MILAN, ITALY - NOVEMBER 16: Davide Frattesi of Italy runs with the ball whilst under pressure from from Erling Haaland of Norway during the FIFA World Cup 2026 qualifier match between Italy and Norway at San Siro Stadium on November 16, 2025 in Milan, Italy. (Photo by Marco Luzzani/Getty Images)

Play-Off Draw Details

The UEFA play-off draw takes place on Thursday, November 20, at FIFA headquarters in Zurich, starting at 12:00 GMT (13:00 CET). The event begins with the inter-confederation play-off draw and will be followed by the European play-off draw, which will determine Italy’s route through the semi-final and final play-off ties.

Schedule: When Italy Will Play

The World Cup play-off semi-finals are scheduled for the international window on March 26, with the decisive play-off finals set for March 30. Those dates give national teams roughly four months to prepare and strategize for single-leg semi-finals and finals that will decide the remaining European qualifiers.

What This Means for Bettors

Italy’s recent form in play-offs and the pressure of single-leg knockout matches suggest tighter, lower-scoring affairs. Punters might consider markets such as under 2.5 goals or wagers on narrow Italy wins (one-goal margins). Home advantage, squad fitness, and draw opponents will be decisive — monitor the Nov 20 draw and March team news before committing stakes.

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Italy’s place in the World Cup play-offs has been confirmed after Sunday evening’s 4-1 humbling...

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