Weekend preview suggests Liverpool likely to beat Everton with a low-scoring result (Liverpool win & under 3.5 goals). Punters should also consider under 2.5 goals for Brighton–Spurs, Brentford as a value away pick, and props like Erling Haaland committing fouls—each selection offers clear market edges.
Liverpool’s superior form and Anfield advantage make them strong favourites here. Everton remain resolutely defensive under their manager away from home against top sides, frequently coming up short. Expect a controlled Liverpool performance with limited goals. SCORE PREDICTION: 2-0 BEST BET: Liverpool to win and under 3.5 goals (11/8)
Tottenham’s recent defensive tightening under their coach has transformed them into a compact unit that frustrates attacking teams. Brighton create chances but have historically underperformed in front of goal; a tactical, low-scoring affair looks likely. SCORE PREDICTION: 0-1 BEST BET: Under 2.5 goals (6/5)
Forest’s abrupt managerial change introduces tactical uncertainty and adaptation time. Burnley have shown impressive defensive resilience and are hard to break down. A tight contest with few clear-cut chances is the most probable outcome. SCORE PREDICTION: 1-0 BEST BET: Under 2.5 goals (4/5)
West Ham’s recent home form is poor and the manager’s measured demeanour has not yet reignited the crowd or results. Palace can exploit that tension and are a plausible value pick with a handicap option worth consideration if you expect an away edge. SCORE PREDICTION: 1-3 BEST BET: Crystal Palace -1 handicap (7/2)
Midfielder Anton Stach has added energy and creativity to Leeds, consistently creating and shooting; he’s increasingly influential and looks primed for a goal or assist. Wolves’ defensive lapses give Leeds opportunities to break through. SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2 BEST BET: Anton Stach to score or assist (11/4)
United’s underlying chances created exceed goals scored, indicating a likely correction over time. With heavy chance volume but low conversion, forward players with shooting opportunities are attractive bets. SCORE PREDICTION: 2-2 BEST BET: Bryan Mbeumo to score (5/2)
The trend toward more away wins in the Premier League undermines the traditional home advantage. Brentford’s away price looks appealing given Fulham’s inconsistent recent home form and potential staleness domestically. SCORE PREDICTION: 1-2 BEST BET: Brentford to win (11/4)
Andoni Iraola’s tactical setups often frustrate Eddie Howe’s Newcastle; Bournemouth have been effective at disrupting their patterns and hitting on the break. That tactical edge suggests a narrow home victory is probable. SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1 BEST BET: Bournemouth to win (13/10)
Aston Villa’s goalscoring drought and low expected-goals figures make them fragile travellers. Sunderland’s home crowd and drilled setup make the home side an appealing selection on a draw-no-bet basis. SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1 BEST BET: Sunderland (draw no bet) (6/4)
The individual duel between Gabriel and Erling Haaland often produces heated contests; Haaland’s foul count against Gabriel has historically been high. That presents a prop opportunity where the market may underprice the probability of fouls in this fixture. SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1 BEST BET: Erling Haaland to commit 2+ fouls (11/4)
Target low-scoring markets in fixtures where defences have been tightened (Liverpool, Spurs, Burnley). Identify away-value opportunities where home advantage has diminished (Brentford) and exploit specific prop edges (Haaland fouls, form-driven scorer/creator props). Focus stake sizing on probability edges rather than headline odds.
Our football betting expert and top tipster Jones Knows provides his insight on the Premier League card, predicting more misery for West Ham and Graham Potter.
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