
Timberwolves heavy -12.5 favorites at home; expect a high-scoring game — bet the OVER 227.5 as both teams have averaged 110+ outputs early. Anthony Edwards’ assists UNDER 4.5 looks like value. Consider fading the large Wolves spread and targeting totals and props instead.
Sunday’s matchup pits a 1-1 Minnesota Timberwolves team against a 0-2 Indiana Pacers squad searching for answers. The Wolves are sizable favorites at home, but early-season trends point to an uptempo clash that could push the total well above the posted number. Indiana, on the second night of a back-to-back, may still try to push the pace, while Minnesota’s defense has shown cracks despite Rudy Gobert’s presence.
Date: Sunday, Oct. 26 Time: 7:00 p.m. EST Arena: Target Center Records: Pacers 0-2 | Timberwolves 1-1
Spread: Pacers +12.5, Timberwolves -12.5 Moneyline: Pacers +440, Timberwolves -600 Total: 227.5 (Over -115 / Under -105)
Not submitted yet Rob Dillingham — questionable Rocco Zikarsky — available
Indiana has combined for 276 (including an overtime game) and 231 points in its two outings. Minnesota has scored at least 110 in both games and allowed 128 to the Lakers recently. The Wolves have struggled defensively at times this season, and Minnesota also failed to cover the spread in both of its games so far.
Anthony Edwards — Assists UNDER 4.5 (+118) Edwards is averaging roughly 5.0 potential assists but only converting about 3.0 actual assists through two games. He averaged 4.5 assists last season and has rarely exceeded five per game in his career. Given those tendencies and early-season usage patterns, the UNDER on 4.5 assists offers tangible value.
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This game leans toward a totals play rather than a spread wager. With both teams producing high point totals early, and Minnesota’s defense showing vulnerability (notably when Gobert is off the floor), the OVER 227.5 is the preferred play. Large spreads for a rested home favorite are tempting on paper, but roster questions and Indiana’s willingness to run create better value on the total and select player props.
Pick: OVER 227.5
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Betting odds, pick and prediction for the Indiana Pacers-Minnesota Timberwolves matchup on Sunday.
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