
Garrett Wilson’s career-best form makes him a strong play for receptions and receiving-yard props despite the Jets’ 0-5 skid. Facing elite CB Patrick Surtain II raises touchdown risk—punters may favor overs on catches/yardage but avoid TD lines.
HERTFORDSHIRE, U.K. — Garrett Wilson has combined a calm, confident presence with the best statistical start of his NFL career, yet wins have not followed. He moves through the Jets’ environment with composure, and on the field he’s making acrobatic, game-changing plays while defenders struggle to limit him.
Wilson is among the NFL leaders: fourth in targets, sixth in receptions, seventh in receiving yards and fifth in touchdowns. Analytical outlets rate him as a Top-10 receiver, and ESPN metrics place his “open score” near the top of the league. This season he has accounted for roughly 37.8% of the Jets’ receiving yards; his 382 yards are 319 more than the next receiver on the roster.
Named a team captain for the first time, Wilson said the honor validated how he already approaches the job — emotional, intense and invested. Teammates praise his work ethic and humility, noting how his daily habits set a tone for the building. Coaches describe his frustration as constructive and uplifting rather than demeaning.
The Jets are using motion and alignment to get Wilson into favorable matchups, moving him around the formation and often employing the slot where he can “negotiate” coverage. Even with turnover at quarterback and limited supporting targets, Wilson has remained the offense’s focal point, producing despite inconsistent surrounding talent.
At his current pace, Wilson is on track to climb the Jets’ all-time receptions list if he sustains production over the season and into the future. He already ranks top-10 in franchise receptions and could move past several long-time franchise leaders if he keeps this tempo.
Wilson faces one of his toughest tests when the Jets meet the Broncos and their standout cornerback, Patrick Surtain II. In prior games against Denver, Wilson has averaged about 39 yards per contest with no touchdowns in three matchups. He views Surtain as a “game within the game,” embraces the challenge and expects to deploy more route creativity and slot work to find separation.
Wilson’s heavy target share makes him a logical option for receptions and receiving-yardage props. However, the matchup with Surtain suggests touchdown props are riskier — expect yards and catches overs to present better value than TD lines. For bettors, alternatives include targeting Wilson for over-reception and over-yardage markets, or considering game-coverage markets that factor in increased target volume even without scoring.
Wilson’s elite production has not yet translated into team success, but his leadership and consistency give the Jets a clear offensive identity. If teammates raise their level around him and the coaching staff continues creating favorable matchups, Wilson can keep producing at a high clip — even against top defenders.
If the Jets are able to climb out of their current rut, the first-time captain will have everything to do with it.
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