
Cal Raleigh’s sixth-inning homer and masterful pitch-calling sparked Seattle’s 3-1 ALCS Game 1 win. Betting angle: Raleigh is a strong HR/RBI prop play and Seattle’s pitching depth supports moneyline or run-line bets; consider under on combined runs given the pitching dominance and bullpen performance.
The Seattle Mariners opened the American League Championship Series with a 3-1 victory over Toronto, a win that felt amplified by the grueling path to the postseason stage: a 15-inning Division Series clincher, an overnight cross-country flight and a makeshift start by Bryce Miller on three days’ rest. Catcher Cal Raleigh was at the center of everything — a decisive hitter, a calming presence on the mound and a defensive workhorse.
Raleigh broke a 1-1 tie with a sixth-inning home run off Kevin Gausman, a swing that ultimately changed the trajectory of the game. He had earlier singled on a first-pitch fastball the first time through the order, and after a strikeout on a string of split-fingered fastballs, stayed patient and pounced on a mistake in the sixth. That homer was his 62nd of the season including playoffs, and another reminder of his matchup success: including postseason play, he’s 8-for-17 (.471) with four homers against Gausman and has been especially dangerous at Rogers Centre.
Miller opened with a tense, 27-pitch first inning that included a first-pitch homer by George Springer and two walks. Raleigh’s extended mound visit after Miller’s second walk is widely credited with steadying the rookie. Miller relaxed and settled into a strong outing — six innings with minimal damage — while the bullpen closed out three scoreless frames. Manager Dan Wilson praised the timing and effect of Raleigh’s visit, noting it prevented an inning that “could have exploded pretty quickly.”
Seattle retired 23 of the final 24 Toronto batters and finished the game on 100 pitches. Raleigh caught every inning of every postseason game so far — 61 innings in the postseason — adding to the heavy workload he carried through the regular season (1,072 innings behind the plate). His combination of offensive pop and elite game management keeps him at the center of Seattle’s playoff march.
Teammates credited Raleigh’s presence for more than just the homer. Jorge Polanco delivered key RBI hits later in the game, but teammates said the home run “woke us up.” Logan Gilbert and others joked about Raleigh’s “weird” mound visits, yet acknowledged the results: pitchers find rhythm and focus after his interventions. Even opposing manager comments from earlier seasons have softened, with public praise for Raleigh’s all-around game.
The MVP conversation will resume well after this series, but Game 1 underscored why Raleigh remains in that conversation: a rare combination of defensive responsibility and elite offensive production. Whether voters reach a verdict in November, his postseason performance — including a .400 run in small-sample postseason at-bats and steady handling of the staff — only bolsters his case.
Raleigh’s night strengthens player-prop angles — expect him to be a popular pick for multi-hit, RBI or home-run props in Game 2. Seattle’s ability to calm a young starter and ride reliable bullpen arms makes the Mariners an attractive moneyline or -1.5 run-line option in short series games, while the pitching dominance argues for lower total (under) plays on game totals. Monitor Gausman matchups and lineup slotting for rodríguez and Polanco when sizing HR/RBI prop stakes.
The Mariners catcher showed once again why he's received so much consideration in the American League MVP race.
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