
Venezuela reached its first WBC final after late comebacks vs. Japan and Italy, powered by a star-laden lineup (Acuña, Contreras, Arraez). Betting angle: Venezuela’s momentum and offense make them a plausible upset or run-line (+1.5) play against the USA, and the game has strong over potential given both teams’ hitters.
Venezuela stuns its way into first WBC final
Venezuela advanced to the 2026 World Baseball Classic championship for the first time after dramatic knockout wins over Japan and Italy. The team flourished with MLB players, recovered from a late pool-play loss to the Dominican Republic, and then produced two come-from-behind victories driven by clutch hitting and lockdown relief pitching.

Road to the championship
Pool play
Venezuela went 3-0 in its first three Pool D games, opening with victories over the Netherlands (6-2), Israel (11-3) and Nicaragua (4-0) before dropping a 7-5 decision to the Dominican Republic.
Quarterfinals and semifinals
Venezuela beat reigning champion Japan 8-5 after a Wilyer Abreu three-run homer turned the game in the sixth. In the semifinal vs. Italy, Venezuela trailed early but rallied for a 4-2 win, scoring three runs in the seventh and relying on seven scoreless innings from the pitching staff to close out the upset.
Key moments and momentum
Wilyer Abreu’s sixth-inning three-run homer against Japan and the three-run seventh against Italy were decisive. In both knockout games the bullpen delivered multiple scoreless innings to preserve narrow leads, highlighting a team that pairs pop in the lineup with timely relief work.
Top players to watch
William Contreras (C) Salvador Pérez (C) Luis Arraez (2B) Maikel García (3B) Eugenio Suárez (3B) Ronald Acuña Jr. (RF) Jackson Chourio (CF)
This core mixes All-Star talent, batting champions, and MVP-level upside, giving Venezuela a lineup capable of matching up with elite pitching and producing runs in bunches.
WBC history and significance
This marks Venezuela’s best-ever WBC finish; the country had appeared in every edition but never reached the final. Advancing to the 2026 title game already surpasses prior bests and underscores a national program on the rise on the international stage.
Championship matchup and schedule
The final pits Venezuela against the United States on Tuesday, March 17 at loanDepot Park in Miami, with first pitch scheduled for 8 p.m. ET.
Betting implications
Venezuela’s recent form — comeback wins and bullpen shutdowns — makes them a live underdog candidate.
Punters may consider Venezuela on the moneyline if odds shorten with their momentum, or prefer the run line (+1.5) as a lower-variance upset hedge.
Mets' Nolan McLean Shares Mindset Ahead of WBC Finals Start for Team USA
Given both teams’ offensive firepower, an over on total runs is a plausible play, while live betting could favor Venezuela if they jump ahead early.
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