Transfer flurry could strengthen title favourites and reshape relegation odds: a big signing for Manchester City or Aston Villa would shorten their title odds, while West Ham additions reduce relegation risk. Striker moves (Mateta, Strand Larsen) could shift anytime goalscorer and top-scorer markets. Punters should monitor deadline activity closely—expect shorter odds for clubs adding proven forwards or defenders and volatility in matchline and first-goal markets.
January window review: momentum builds as deadline approaches
The Premier League has been relatively quiet so far this January, with many moves delayed by international tournaments and domestic cup commitments. Momentum is expected to spike on deadline day, with clubs fighting for European spots, title contention and survival all driving late activity. Expect the biggest deals to involve sides with immediate objectives in the second half of the campaign.
When does the transfer window close?
England: Monday, February 2 at 7pm. Italy, Germany and France close at the same time. Scotland and Spain run until 11pm. The Netherlands and Portugal close on February 3.
Deadline-day deals to watch
Jean-Philippe Mateta (Crystal Palace)
Mateta has been left out of Palace’s squad amid strong signals that a move is imminent. AC Milan lead the race while Nottingham Forest have shown interest. If Mateta departs, Palace will need a ready-made replacement to avoid disruption.
Jørgen Strand Larsen (Wolves)
Wolves continue to resist major offers for their Norwegian striker despite renewed interest. Leeds have bid in the region of £30m and Crystal Palace, Forest and West Ham have all tracked him. Strand Larsen remains a rare, Premier League-proven No.9 on the market.
Axel Disasi (Chelsea)
West Ham are among clubs exploring central defensive reinforcements and Disasi is on the shortlist. The France international has fallen down Chelsea’s pecking order and has previous Premier League loan experience.
Curtis Jones (Liverpool)
Jones has attracted monitoring from abroad amid Liverpool’s injury problems; he offers versatility, including cover at right-back. Liverpool’s current defensive crisis makes any sale unlikely without clear cover.
Harry Wilson (Fulham)
Wilson’s nine-goal season and knack for spectacular strikes have drawn interest as his contract nears expiry. He could be a summer free-agent target, which may influence whether clubs bid now or wait.
Antonín Kinský / Mads Hermansen swap (Tottenham / West Ham)
Talks have circulated over a keeper swap involving Kinský and Hermansen, aimed at giving both clubs competition and game time solutions between the sticks.
Andy Robertson (Liverpool)
A proposed move for Robertson has stalled for now. The left-back has under six months left on his contract and remains a player clubs are monitoring as the window progresses.
Tim Iroegbunam (Everton)
Lazio submitted a bid reportedly around £15m that Everton rejected. Increased interest from abroad could push Everton to sell before the deadline.
Major Premier League deals completed so far
Antoine Semenyo: Bournemouth to Man City (£62.5m)
Brennan Johnson: Tottenham to Crystal Palace (£35m)
Conor Gallagher: Atletico Madrid to Tottenham (£35m)
Taty Castellanos: Lazio to West Ham (£26.1m)
Pablo Felipe: Gil Vicente to West Ham (£20.9m)
Marc Guéhi: Crystal Palace to Man City (£20m)
Tammy Abraham: Besiktas to Aston Villa (£18m)
Luis Guilherme: West Ham to Sporting (£17.4m)
Souza: Santos to Tottenham (£13m)
Alex Toth: Ferencvaros to Bournemouth (£10.4m)
Alysson: Gremio to Aston Villa (£10.4m)
Brian Madjo: Metz to Aston Villa (£10m)
Kaye Furo: Club Brugge to Brentford (£8m)
Pascal Gross: Borussia Dortmund to Brighton (£1.3m)
Ethan Nwaneri: Arsenal to Marseille (loan)
Facundo Buonanotte: Brighton to Leeds (loan)
Lorenzo Lucca: Napoli to Nottingham Forest (loan)
Christos Mandas: Lazio to Bournemouth (loan)
Jack Harrison: Leeds to Fiorentina (loan)
Claudio Echeverri: Man City to Girona (loan)
Manor Solomon: Tottenham to Fiorentina (loan)
Niclas Füllkrug: West Ham to AC Milan (loan)
Marshall Munetsi: Wolves to Paris FC (loan)
Lucas Paquetá: West Ham to Flamengo (undisclosed)
James Ward-Prowse: West Ham to Burnley (loan)
Evann Guessand: Aston Villa to Crystal Palace (loan)
Adama Traoré: Fulham to West Ham (£1m)
What can happen after the deadline?
If clubs agree terms before the deadline, a deal-sheet can be submitted to allow a short extension for paperwork. After the English window closes, Premier League clubs can still sell players to clubs in countries whose windows remain open; they can also sign free agents. Note that global window timings vary, so cross-border moves depend on target league deadlines.
Most expensive January transfers in Premier League history
Philippe Coutinho: Liverpool to Barcelona (£142m, 2018)
Enzo Fernández: Benfica to Chelsea (£106m, 2023)
Virgil van Dijk: Southampton to Liverpool (£75m, 2018)
Jhon Durán: Aston Villa to Al-Nassr (£71m, 2025)
Omar Marmoush: Eintracht Frankfurt to Man City (£63.2m, 2025)
What this means for bettors
Late additions of proven forwards or defenders can materially shift match odds, goal markets and title/relegation futures. Punters should track confirmed signings closely and consider volatility in first-goal, anytime-scorer and matchline markets immediately after deadline announcements.
Manchester City have been the big movers in a quiet January transfer window in the Premier League.
'I didn’t actually realise how far out I was' Joe Cole on his iconic World Cup goal against Sweden
The market was expected to take time to build momentum as players were at the Africa Cup of Nations and clubs fulfilled European and domestic cup fixtures but Monday could be an exciting finale to mid-season trading.
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