Chargers vs. Jaguars Final Score Prediction for NFL Week 11 (Back Los Angeles)

Chargers favored at -3 against a struggling Jaguars suggests Los Angeles is the smart play to win and cover; punters might also lean to the Under 43.5 given Jacksonville’s injured receiving corps and Trevor Lawrence’s accuracy issues. Expect a low-scoring, control-style victory for the Chargers — projected final: Chargers 21, Jaguars 17.
Chargers vs. Jaguars Preview: Can Los Angeles Stall Jacksonville’s Slide?
Jacksonville enters Week 11 at 5-4 after losing three of four games and surrendering a late lead to Houston. The Chargers arrive with momentum from back-to-back wins and a high-powered passing attack led by Justin Herbert. With the Jaguars’ receiving corps depleted and Trevor Lawrence struggling with accuracy, Los Angeles looks poised to exploit mismatches in the secondary and control the game.
Jaguars’ Form and Injury Concerns
Jacksonville’s offense has stalled: the team hasn’t covered the spread since Week 5 and Lawrence is completing a career-low 59.5% of his passes this season. Key injuries have gutted the receiving corps, limiting big-play potential and forcing more short, conservative looks. Recent late-game failures, including a blown lead to Houston, have compounded pressure on the Jaguars’ postseason hopes.
Chargers’ Air Attack and Defensive Edge
The Chargers rank among the NFL leaders in total and passing yards, with an aerial game that consistently moves the chains. Los Angeles also boasts one of the stingiest pass defenses, surrendering just 174.2 yards per game through the air — a matchup problem for an error-prone Jacksonville passing offense. Even with questions at running back and along the line, Herbert’s efficiency and the secondary’s coverage make the Chargers favorites to win and cover.
Odds, Betting Angles and What Punters Should Consider
Spread: Chargers -3 (home road line)/Jaguars +3 Moneyline: Chargers -155 / Jaguars +130 Total: 43.5 (Over/Under)
Betting angles:
Primary: Chargers -3 — Los Angeles’ passing attack and Jacksonville’s recent struggles point toward a Chargers win and likely cover.
Secondary: Under 43.5 — injuries and conservative game script for Jacksonville suggest a lower-scoring affair.
Caution: Both teams have been inconsistent against the spread this season; monitor injury reports and late odds movement.
Final Score Prediction
Chargers 21, Jaguars 17
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Final score prediction for the Chargers-Jaguars matchup on Sunday.
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