Jaguars vs. Texans Roundtable: Preview, Predictions And More

Jaguars are slight favorites at home in a likely low-scoring AFC South grind; bettors might lean Jacksonville moneyline or -3 and the under as both defenses should control the game. Expect the Jaguars to limit sacks (around four or fewer) and lean on the run game to win a close one.

Jaguars vs. Texans Week 3 Preview: Pivotal AFC South Showdown

Jacksonville hosts Houston in a key divisional matchup that could shape the early AFC South pecking order. Both defenses have playmaking potential, so this projects as a physical, lower-scoring affair where turnover avoidance and line play decide the outcome.

Can Jacksonville Contain Houston’s Edge Rush?

The Jaguars have historically limited Will Anderson in recent meetings, holding him to only a handful of pressures across multiple games. Scheme and offensive tackle play have been factors, and Jacksonville will need another stout performance up front to neutralize both Anderson and newly impactful edge threats like Danielle Hunter. If the Jaguars can slow the rush, they’ll force Houston to sustain longer drives.

Offensive Line, Playcalling and Trevor Lawrence

Trevor Lawrence has been getting the ball out quicker under Liam Coen’s play-calling, emphasizing quick hitters and rhythm throws. That approach should help mitigate Houston’s pass rush; expectations are Jacksonville will allow no more than about four sacks if they execute. The run game will be central — controlling the clock and setting up manageable passing downs.

Travis Hunter’s Role on Offense

Travis Hunter’s receiving usage has been limited so far, with below-average air yards per target. While the coaching staff could expand his route tree, current indicators suggest a cautious approach to his offensive workload given his defensive duties. Look for occasional underneath and middle-of-field targets rather than a sudden, heavy pass-volume role.

Key Matchups and X-Factors

- Jacksonville offensive line vs. Houston front seven: Win here and the Jaguars control tempo. - Jaguars defensive front vs. Texans offensive line: Pressure and run-stopping will determine short-yardage success. - Trevor Lawrence’s ball security vs. Texans’ pass-rush plans: Clean games from Lawrence tilt the edge to Jacksonville. - Running backs’ effectiveness (Travis Etienne Jr. and backups) in sustaining drives and keeping Houston off balance.

Score Projection & Betting Outlook

Projected score range: Jaguars 20–24, Texans 17–20. Expect a tight, defense-driven game. For bettors: lean Jacksonville moneyline or a small spread pick (JAX -3 if available) and consider the under on the total, based on anticipated conservative game script, strong defensive play, and Jacksonville’s run-first tendencies when controlling the game. Sacks should hover around four or fewer for the Jaguars’ quarterback if protection and quick throws hold.

Jacksonville enters favored to win a close divisional contest; execution in the trenches and limiting big defensive plays will be the difference.

In this week's roundtable, we give our final preview to the Jacksonville Jaguars' Week 3 battle with the Houston Texans.

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